Tuesday, November 2, 2010
forex trading
3:58 AM by xoiper · 0 التعليقات
forex trading
3:54 AM by xoiper · 0 التعليقات
Wednesday, October 27, 2010
Forex Pivot Points
7:34 AM by xoiper · 0 التعليقات
Are you all excited? It's your last year in junior high before you head off to high school!
Professional traders and market makers use pivot points to identify potential support and resistance levels. Simply put, a pivot point and its support/resistance levels are areas at which the direction of price movement can possibly change.
The reason why pivot points are so enticing?
It's because they are OBJECTIVE.
Unlike some of the other indicators that we've taught you about already, there's no discretion involved.
In many ways, pivot points are very similar to Fibonacci levels. Because so many people are looking at those levels, they almost become self-fulfilling.
The major difference between the two is that with Fibonacci, there is still some subjectivity involved in picking Swing Highs and Swing Lows. With pivot points, traders typically use the same method for calculating them.
Many traders keep an eye on these levels and you should too.
Pivot points are especially useful to short-term traders who are looking to take advantage of small price movements. Just like normal support and resistance levels, traders can choose to trade the bounce or the break of these levels.
Range-bound traders use pivot points to identify reversal points. They see pivot points as areas where they can place their buy or sell orders.
Breakout traders use pivot points to recognize key levels that need to be broken for a move to be classified as a real deal breakout.
Here is an example of pivot points plotted on a 1-hour EUR/USD chart:
As you can see here, horizontal support and resistance levels are placed on your chart. And look - they're marked out nicely for you! How convenient is that?!
Here's quick rundown on what those acronyms mean:
PP stands for Pivot Point.
S stands for Support.
R stands for Resistance.
But don't get too caught up in thinking "S1 has to be support" or "R1 has to be resistance." We'll explain why later.
In the following lessons, you will learn how to calculate pivot points, the different types of pivot points and most importantly, how you can add pivot points to your trading toolbox!
Chart Patterns Schmatterns
7:32 AM by xoiper · 0 التعليقات
By now you have an arsenal of weapons to use when you battle the market. In this lesson, you will add yet another weapon: CHART PATTERNS!
Think of chart patterns as a land mine detector because, once you finish this lesson, you will be able to spot "explosions" on the charts before they even happen, potentially making you a lot of money in the process.
Chart patterns are like that funny feeling you get in your tummy right before you let a fart explode.
Don't you wish had a chart to detect this explosion?
In this lesson, we will teach you basic chart patterns and formations. When correctly identified, it usually leads to an explosive breakout, so watch out!
Remember, our goal is to spot big movements before they happen so that we can ride them out and rake in the cash. After all, who doesn't want to have a pool of cash to swim in like Richie Rich?
Chart formations will greatly help us spot conditions where the market is ready to break out. They can also indicate whether the price will continue in its current direction or reverse so we'll also be devising some nifty trade strategies for these patterns.
Don't worry, we'll give you a neat little cheat sheet to help you remember all these cool patterns and strategies!
Here's the list of patterns that we're going to cover:
- Double Top and Double Bottom
- Head and Shoulders and Inverse Head and Shoulders
- Rising and Falling Wedges
- Bullish and Bearish Rectangles
- Bearish and Bullish Pennants
- Triangles (Symmetrical, Ascending, and Descending)
next lesson
Leading vs. Lagging Indicators
7:30 AM by xoiper · 0 التعليقات
Leading vs. Lagging Indicators
We've already covered a lot of tools that can help you analyze potential trending and range bound trade opportunities. Still doing great so far? Awesome! Let's move on.
In this lesson, we're going to streamline your use of these chart indicators.
We want you to fully understand the strengths and weaknesses of each tool, so you'll be able to determine which ones work for you and which ones don't.
Let's discuss some concepts first. There are two types of indicators: leading and lagging.
A leading indicator gives a signal before the new trend or reversal occurs.
A lagging indicator gives a signal after the trend has started and basically informs you "Hey buddy, pay attention, the trend has started and you're missing the boat."
You're probably thinking, "Ooooh, I'm going to get rich with leading indicators!" since you would be able to profit from a new trend right at the start.
You're right.
You would "catch" the entire trend every single time, IF the leading indicator was correct every single time. But it won't be.
When you use leading indicators, you will experience a lot of fakeouts. Leading indicators are notorious for giving bogus signals which could "mislead" you.
Get it? Leading indicators that "mislead" you?
Haha. Man we're so funny we even crack ourselves up.
The other option is to use lagging indicators, which aren't as prone to bogus signals.
Lagging indicators only give signals after the price change is clearly forming a trend. The downside is that you'd be a little late in entering a position.
Often the biggest gains of a trend occur in the first few bars, so by using a lagging indicator you could potentially miss out on much of the profit. And that sucks.
It's kinda like wearing bell-bottoms in the 1980s and thinking you're so cool and hip with fashion....
For the purpose of this lesson, let's broadly categorize all of our technical indicators into one of two categories:
- Leading indicators or oscillators
- Lagging, trend-following, or momentum indicators
While the two can be supportive of each other, they're more likely to conflict with each other. We're not saying that one or the other should be used exclusively, but you must understand the potential pitfalls of each.
next lesson
Bollinger Bands
7:28 AM by xoiper · 0 التعليقات
Congratulations on making it to the 5th grade! Each time you make it to the next grade you continue to add more and more tools to your trader's toolbox.
"What's a trader's toolbox?" you ask.
Simple!
Let's compare trading to building a house. You wouldn't use a hammer on a screw, right? Nor would you use a buzz saw to drive in nails. There's a proper tool for each situation.
Just like in trading, some trading tools and indicators are best used in particular environments or situations. So, the more tools you have, the better you can adapt to the ever changing market environment.
Or if you want to focus on a few specific trading environments or tools, that's cool too. It's good to have a specialist when installing your electricity or plumbing in a house, just like it's cool to be a Bollinger band or Moving Average expert.
There are a million different ways to grab some pips!
For this lesson, as you learn about these indicators, think of each as a new tool that you can add to that toolbox of yours.
You might not necessarily use all of these tools, but it's always nice to have plenty of options, right? You might even find one that you understand and comfortable enough to master on its own. Now, enough about tools already!
Let's get started!
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger bands are used to measure a market's volatility.
Basically, this little tool tells us whether the market is quiet or whether the market is LOUD! When the market is quiet, the bands contract and when the market is LOUD, the bands expand.
Notice on the chart below that when price is quiet, the bands are close together. When price moves up, the bands spread apart.
That's all there is to it. Yes, we could go on and bore you by going into the history of the Bollinger band, how it is calculated, the mathematical formulas behind it, and so on and so forth, but we really didn't feel like typing it all out.
In all honesty, you don't need to know any of that junk. We think it's more important that we show you some ways you can apply the Bollinger bands to your trading.
Note: If you really want to learn about the calculations of a Bollinger band, then you can go to www.bollingerbands.com.
The Bollinger Bounce
One thing you should know about Bollinger bands is that price tends to return to the middle of the bands. That is the whole idea behind the Bollinger bounce. By looking at the chart below, can you tell us where the price might go next?
If you said down, then you are correct! As you can see, the price settled back down towards the middle area of the bands.
What you just saw was a classic Bollinger bounce. The reason these bounces occur is because Bollinger bands act like dynamic support and resistance levels.
The longer the time frame you are in, the stronger these bands tend to be. Many traders have developed systems that thrive on these bounces and this strategy is best used when the market is ranging and there is no clear trend.
Now let's look at a way to use Bollinger bands when the market does trend.
Bollinger Squeeze
The Bollinger squeeze is pretty self-explanatory. When the bands squeeze together, it usually means that a breakout is getting ready to happen.
If the candles start to break out above the top band, then the move will usually continue to go up. If the candles start to break out below the lower band, then price will usually continue to go down.
Looking at the chart above, you can see the bands squeezing together. The price has just started to break out of the top band. Based on this information, where do you think the price will go?
If you said up, you are correct again!
This is how a typical Bollinger squeeze works.
This strategy is designed for you to catch a move as early as possible. Setups like these don't occur every day, but you can probably spot them a few times a week if you are looking at a 15-minute chart.
There are many other things you can do with Bollinger bands, but these are the 2 most common strategies associated with them. It's time to put this in your trader's toolbox before we move on to the next indicator.
next lesson
Silky Smooth Moving Averages
7:10 AM by xoiper · 0 التعليقات
A moving average is simply a way to smooth out price action over time. By "moving average", we mean that you are taking the average closing price of a currency pair for the last 'X' number of periods. On a chart, it would look like this:
Like every indicator, a moving average indicator is used to help us forecast future prices. By looking at the slope of the moving average, you can better determine the potential direction of market prices.
As we said, moving averages smooth out price action.
There are different types of moving averages and each of them has their own level of "smoothness".
Generally, the smoother the moving average, the slower it is to react to the price movement.
The choppier the moving average, the quicker it is to react to the price movement. To make a moving average smoother, you should get the average closing prices over a longer time period.
Now, you're probably thinking, "C'mon, let's get to the good stuff. How can I use this to trade?"
In this section, we first need to explain to you the two major types of moving averages:
- Simple
- Exponential
We'll also teach you how to calculate them and give the pros and cons of each. Just like in every other lesson in the BabyPips.com School of Pipsology, you need to know the basics first!
After you've got that on lockdown like Argentinian soccer player Lionel Messi's ball-handling skills, we'll teach you the different ways to use moving averages and how to incorporate them into your trading strategy.
By the end of this lesson, you'll be just as smooth as Messi's!
Are you ready?
If you are, give us a "Heck yeah!"
If not, go back and reread the intro.
Once you're pumped and ready to go, head to the next page.
next lesson
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